September 18, 2008

The FDIC is working a bit of overtime sorting out the situation with bank holdings of FannieFreddie prefs:

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) will work with the limited number of institutions that have significant holdings of common or perpetual preferred shares in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to develop Capital Restoration Plans pursuant to federal regulations. These equity investments should be reported as available-for-sale equity securities, if not held for trading purposes, and any net unrealized losses should be deducted from regulatory capital. Attached is the FDIC’s “Statement on Investments in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Equity Securities.”

There’s rather a disturbing quote from John McCain:

LAUER: So if we get to the point middle of the week as we heard in that report where AIG might have to file for bankruptcy, they’re on their own?
McCAIN: Well…quote, “on their own”…we have to – we cannot have the taxpayers bail out AIG or anybody else…this is something we’re gonna have to work through — there’s too much corruption, there’s too much access, we can fix it, I believe in America – we can have a 9/11 commission such as we had after 9/11, ’cause this is a huge crisis and we can come up with fixes and we can make sure that every American has a safer future and that is to make them know that their bank deposits are safe and insured.

The disturbing part is “corruption”. “Corruption” implies criminality. There is a huge difference between ‘investments that didn’t work out’ and ‘incompetence and recklessness’ and ‘corruption’. If the next President approaches the issue of regulation of the financial sector with the idea that it was – somewhere, perhaps unprovable, but somewhere – widescale criminality that caused the current crunch, the economy’s in trouble. Sarbanes-Oxley has had a bad enough effect; a reprise will simply accellerate the slow erosion of New York as the world’s premier financial centre.

Reserve Primary Fund broke the buck on September 16; related events and reverberations are wild. State Street & BONY Mellon got hammered:

State Street Corp. fell as much as 55 percent and Federated Investors Inc. and Bank of New York Mellon Corp. declined in New York trading on concerns that money-market funds will be hit by a wave of losses.

The stocks plunged after BNY Mellon said a $22 billion institutional fund suffered losses on debt issued by bankrupt Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. While not a money-market fund, BNY Mellon’s $22 billion Institutional Cash Reserves was designed to work like one.

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Dealbreaker is amused.

And Putnam is closing down a huge fund:

Putnam Investments LLC closed its $12.3 billion institutional Putnam Prime Money Market Fund yesterday and plans to return all cash to investors.

The fund, which was valued yesterday at $1 a share, experienced “significant redemption pressure,” the Boston- based company said in a statement. A drop below $1 a share, known as breaking the buck, would have exposed investors to losses.

I discussed this issue – a bit – in my essay A Collateral Proposal, but I’m still having some trouble understanding it. Money market funds invest in commercial paper, not just T-Bills. This is because Commercial Paper pays more. It pays more due to both liquidity concerns and credit concerns. Credit Concerns! Occasionally, there will be a loss. If the Portfolio Manager is doing his job right, these losses will be few and far between; but there will be losses. That’s why you get paid extra!

So a loss of 1-2% on a money market fund is unpleasant, sure, but I’m afraid I just don’t understand why it’s the end of the world.

Another crummy day for prefs, and we can no longer talk about a yield curve. It’s more of a yield smudge, a yield Rorschach (pronounced “Raw-Shock”). Today’s closing average bid-YTW of 6.22% was seen on August 8 (moving down) and July 7 (moving up). The peak, remember, was 6.63%.

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30.
The Fixed-Reset index was added effective 2008-9-5 at that day’s closing value of 1,119.4 for the Fixed-Floater index.
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A N/A
Fixed-Floater 4.75% 4.83% 76,269 15.71 6 -0.4182% 1,076.8
Floater 4.97% 4.97% 49,469 15.57 2 +1.4430% 806.8
Op. Retract 5.00% 4.73% 124,324 3.43 14 -0.1633% 1,045.0
Split-Share 5.60% 7.10% 51,046 4.32 14 -1.4028% 999.1
Interest Bearing 6.66% 7.75% 54,179 5.19 2 -0.3681% 1,069.6
Perpetual-Premium 6.25% 6.21% 57,419 2.19 1 +0.0000% 993.0
Perpetual-Discount 6.14% 6.22% 184,479 13.57 70 -0.4421% 868.8
Fixed-Reset 5.08% 4.94% 1,472,524 14.24 9 -0.1792% 1,115.0
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
BNA.PR.C
BNA.PR.B
SplitShare +10.2813%
-6.3590%
Asset coverage of 3.2+:1 as of August 29 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 10.28% based on a bid of 18.26 and a hardMaturity 2016-3-25 at 25.00. Compare with BNA.PR.A (7.71% to 2010-9-30) and BNA.PR.C (10.82% to 2019-1-10). Note that, given 2.4 shares of BAM.A per BNA preferred and a price of 28.50 on BAM.A (up 3.60% from yesterday), asset coverage is now 2.7+:1. Today’s volume was 14,200 shares in a range 19.45-75. The last trade was at 2:33pm; the closing quote was 18.26-19.98, 5×5, with the market maker apparently out for coffee.
POW.PR.A PerpetualDiscount -5.5628% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.57% based on a bid of 21.73 and a limitMaturity.
POW.PR.C PerpetualDiscount -5.2211% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.57% based on a bid of 22.51 and a limitMaturity. Closing quote of 22.51-23.70 … another example of market-making, Toronto-style.
ALB.PR.A SplitShare -4.3243% Asset coverage of 1.7+:1 as of September 11, according to Scotia. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 8.04% based on a bid of 23.01 and a hardMaturity 2011-2-28 at 25.00. Traded 12,923 shares in a range of (sit down) 21.53-24.00. Closing quote was another Toronto Special, 23.01-24.24, 2×1.
SBC.PR.A SplitShare -3.7948% Asset coverage of just under 2.1:1 as of September 11, according to Brompton Group. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.43% based on a bid of 9.68 and a hardMaturity 2012-11-30 at 10.00.
GWO.PR.I PerpetualDiscount -3.0922% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.45% based on a bid of 17.55 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.I PerpetualDiscount -2.4417% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.81% based on a bid of 17.58 and a limitMaturity.
FFN.PR.A SplitShare -2.1482% Asset coverage of just under 1.8:1 as of September 15 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.15% based on a bid of 9.11 and a hardMaturity 2014-12-1 at 10.00.
BCE.PR.Z FixFloat -2.0632%  
SLF.PR.E PerpetualDiscount -2.0408% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.20% based on a bid of 18.24 and a limitMaturity.
BCE.PR.G FixFloat -1.8526%  
FBS.PR.B SplitShare -1.7895% Asset coverage of just under 1.6:1 as of September 11, according to TD Securities. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.16% based on a bid of 9.33 and a hardMaturity 2011-12-15 at 10.00.
POW.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -1.6859% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.25% based on a bid of 21.50 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.G PerpetualDiscount -1.5144% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.06% based on a bid of 19.51 and a limitMaturity.
HSB.PR.C PerpetualDiscount -1.4918% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.47% based on a bid of 19.81 and a limitMaturity.
BSD.PR.A InterestBearing -1.4640% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 8.62% (mostly as interest) based on a bid of 8.75 and a hardMaturity 2015-3-31 at 10.00.
PWF.PR.E PerpetualDiscount -1.3239% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.23% based on a bid of 22.36 and a limitMaturity.
PWF.PR.K PerpetualDiscount -1.3158% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.22% based on a bid of 20.25 and a limitMaturity.
SLF.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -1.2009% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.18% based on a bid of 18.10 and a limitMaturity.
ELF.PR.G PerpetualDiscount -1.1905% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.32% based on a bid of 16.60 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -1.1579% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.07% based on a bid of 18.78 and a limitMaturity.
TD.PR.P PerpetualDiscount -1.0725% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.78% based on a bid of 23.06 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.B PerpetualDiscount -1.0204% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.13% based on a bid of 19.40 and a limitMaturity.
GWO.PR.E OpRet -1.0133% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.02% based on a bid of 25.40 and a call 2011-4-30 at 25.00.
CM.PR.P PerpetualDiscount +1.2488% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.92% based on a bid of 20.27 and a limitMaturity.
BAM.PR.N PerpetualDiscount +1.7024% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.41% based on a bid of 16.13 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.I PerpetualDiscount -1.4223% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.64% based on a bid of 18.02 and a limitMaturity.
BCE.PR.R FixFloat +2.1739%  
BAM.PR.K Floater +2.8221%  
IAG.PR.A PerpetualDiscount +5.5041% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.35% based on a bid of 18.21 and a limitMaturity.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
NTL.PR.F Scraps (Would be ratchet, but there are credit concerns) 260,000 CIBC crossed blocks of 20,000 and 150,000, both at 6.00. Whoosh! Down 14.81%!
TD.PR.M OpRet 251,200 CIBC crossed 250,000 at 26.05. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.19% based on a bid of 25.76 and a softMaturity 2013-10-30.
NTL.PR.G Scraps (would be Ratchet, but there are credit concerns) -22.0741% CIBC crossed 150,000 at 5.75. Whoooosh! Down 22.0741%!
MFC.PR.A OpRet 157,970 CIBC crossed 150,000 at 24.90. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.05% based on a bid of 25.11 and a softMaturity 2015-12-18 at 25.00.
CM.PR.I PerpetualDiscount 123,000 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 17.80. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.81% based on a bid of 17.58 and a limitMaturity.
TD.PR.O PerpetualDiscount 109,900 CIBC crossed 100,000 at 21.05. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.86% based on a bid of 21.02 and a limitMaturity.
BMO.PR.J PerpetualDiscount 64,460 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 18.60. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.12% based on a bid of 18.60 and a limitMaturity.

There were twenty-eight other index-included $25-pv-equivalent issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

2 Responses to “September 18, 2008”

  1. adrian2 says:

    Isn’t the first row in the Major Price Changes section about BNA.PR.B, and shouldn’t its daily percentage change be negative?

    Thanks,
    Adrian

  2. jiHymas says:

    Yes! Sorry! Fixed!

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