The world’s most influential bond yield surged decisively above 5 per cent on Wednesday as more signs emerged of growing inflationary pressures in the U.S., sending stocks and fixed income portfolios tumbling.
The benchmark U.S. 10-year yield briefly rose to near 5.14 per cent, back to where it was in 2007 before the global financial crisis caused yields to crater. In late afternoon trading, it was fetching 5.10 per cent, up 16 basis points for the session.
That was still a large daily move for the bond market, and had Canadian bond yields surging as well. The Canada five-year yield, closely followed for its impact on fixed mortgage rates and GICs, hit its highest since 2024.
Bond yields were higher across the curve – from short-term tenures to long term – an indication that traders were bracing not only for rate hikes but also for inflationary pressures to linger. That also meant investors widely suffered declines in bond portfolios – prices move inversely to yields.
All three major U.S. equity indexes weakened, with losses for Canada’s S&P/TSX Compositive Index – heavily weighted towards materials and interest-sensitive stocks that tend to weaken when yields rise – outpacing Wall Street. It closed down 584.18 points, or 1.6 per cent, marking its biggest one-day decline since June 5.
…
Adding to the hawkish tone, Fed Governor Michael Barr said that the central bank took an important step last week to “recalibrate” short-term borrowing costs to bring down inflation, and signaled that further rate hikes will likely be needed.Fed funds futures traders are now pricing in a 66 per cent chance of an October rate hike, up from 53 per cent a day earlier.
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The U.S. Treasury Department also drew very weak demand for a US$70-billion 5-year note auction amid the bond market selloff, with the notes selling at the highest yield at an auction since 2007.
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.68 per cent and the S&P 500 dropped 0.75 per cent. The Nasdaq Composite was down 1.13 per cent, a sharp reversal after hitting a record high on Tuesday.
Canada five-years at 3.68%! Who’da thunk it?
PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.80%, equivalent to 7.54% interest at the standard conversion factor of 1.3x. Long corporates yielded 5.38% on 2026-09-16. Therefore the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has remained constant at the 215bp reported September 16.
| HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices Values are provisional and are finalized monthly |
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| Index | Mean Current Yield (at bid) |
Median YTW |
Median Average Trading Value |
Median Mod Dur (YTW) |
Issues | Day’s Perf. | Index Value |
| Ratchet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.6228 % | 2,798.6 |
| FixedFloater | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.6228 % | 5,270.2 |
| Floater | 5.16 % | 5.26 % | 28,579 | 15.12 | 3 | 0.6228 % | 3,037.3 |
| OpRet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.2979 % | 3,628.1 |
| SplitShare | 4.66 % | 4.75 % | 52,388 | 2.51 | 4 | -0.2979 % | 4,332.7 |
| Interest-Bearing | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.2979 % | 3,380.6 |
| Perpetual-Premium | 5.73 % | 5.77 % | 67,997 | 14.03 | 9 | -0.3420 % | 3,028.4 |
| Perpetual-Discount | 5.73 % | 5.80 % | 40,749 | 14.13 | 21 | -0.5507 % | 3,300.3 |
| FixedReset Disc | 5.63 % | 6.21 % | 80,800 | 13.54 | 21 | -0.3766 % | 3,384.7 |
| Insurance Straight | 5.65 % | 5.72 % | 53,883 | 14.31 | 19 | -1.2620 % | 3,182.7 |
| FloatingReset | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.3766 % | 4,132.8 |
| FixedReset Prem | 5.95 % | 4.55 % | 74,996 | 2.01 | 27 | -0.0559 % | 2,650.8 |
| FixedReset Bank Non | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.3766 % | 3,459.9 |
| FixedReset Ins Non | 5.28 % | 5.40 % | 55,101 | 2.52 | 14 | -1.5233 % | 3,232.6 |
| Performance Highlights | |||
| Issue | Index | Change | Notes |
| IFC.PR.G | FixedReset Ins Non | -22.80 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 19.87 Evaluated at bid price : 19.87 Bid-YTW : 7.72 % |
| CCS.PR.C | Insurance Straight | -4.57 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 21.50 Evaluated at bid price : 21.50 Bid-YTW : 5.85 % |
| SLF.PR.E | Insurance Straight | -3.92 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 20.10 Evaluated at bid price : 20.10 Bid-YTW : 5.63 % |
| ENB.PR.Y | FixedReset Disc | -2.63 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 22.15 Evaluated at bid price : 22.55 Bid-YTW : 6.49 % |
| CU.PR.G | Perpetual-Discount | -2.50 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 19.51 Evaluated at bid price : 19.51 Bid-YTW : 5.83 % |
| GWO.PR.I | Insurance Straight | -2.31 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 19.88 Evaluated at bid price : 19.88 Bid-YTW : 5.69 % |
| IFC.PR.E | Insurance Straight | -2.27 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 22.54 Evaluated at bid price : 22.79 Bid-YTW : 5.72 % |
| SLF.PR.C | Insurance Straight | -1.91 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 20.50 Evaluated at bid price : 20.50 Bid-YTW : 5.46 % |
| FTS.PR.H | FixedReset Disc | -1.61 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 20.76 Evaluated at bid price : 20.76 Bid-YTW : 5.86 % |
| IFC.PR.M | Perpetual-Premium | -1.60 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 24.17 Evaluated at bid price : 24.55 Bid-YTW : 5.61 % |
| GWO.PR.H | Insurance Straight | -1.50 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 21.05 Evaluated at bid price : 21.05 Bid-YTW : 5.79 % |
| BN.PR.M | Perpetual-Discount | -1.34 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 19.85 Evaluated at bid price : 19.85 Bid-YTW : 6.02 % |
| POW.PR.C | Perpetual-Premium | -1.34 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 24.88 Evaluated at bid price : 25.11 Bid-YTW : 5.88 % |
| GWO.PR.Y | Insurance Straight | -1.18 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 20.04 Evaluated at bid price : 20.04 Bid-YTW : 5.65 % |
| GWO.PR.R | Insurance Straight | -1.18 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 20.90 Evaluated at bid price : 20.90 Bid-YTW : 5.78 % |
| ENB.PR.H | FixedReset Disc | -1.12 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 23.43 Evaluated at bid price : 23.77 Bid-YTW : 6.08 % |
| GWO.PR.G | Insurance Straight | -1.09 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 22.49 Evaluated at bid price : 22.75 Bid-YTW : 5.73 % |
| BN.PF.C | Perpetual-Discount | -1.07 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 20.29 Evaluated at bid price : 20.29 Bid-YTW : 6.01 % |
| BN.PF.D | Perpetual-Discount | -1.01 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 20.49 Evaluated at bid price : 20.49 Bid-YTW : 6.02 % |
| ENB.PR.F | FixedReset Disc | -1.00 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 23.27 Evaluated at bid price : 23.66 Bid-YTW : 6.40 % |
| BN.PR.B | Floater | -1.00 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 14.85 Evaluated at bid price : 14.85 Bid-YTW : 5.27 % |
| GWO.PR.N | FixedReset Ins Non | 1.25 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 21.04 Evaluated at bid price : 21.04 Bid-YTW : 5.56 % |
| BN.PR.K | Floater | 2.62 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 14.89 Evaluated at bid price : 14.89 Bid-YTW : 5.26 % |
| Volume Highlights | |||
| Issue | Index | Shares Traded |
Notes |
| IFC.PR.C | FixedReset Ins Non | 81,900 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2026-10-30 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 24.98 Bid-YTW : 5.90 % |
| GWO.PR.N | FixedReset Ins Non | 52,575 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 21.04 Evaluated at bid price : 21.04 Bid-YTW : 5.56 % |
| ENB.PF.E | FixedReset Disc | 40,480 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 22.83 Evaluated at bid price : 23.88 Bid-YTW : 6.32 % |
| BILP.PR.A | FixedReset Prem | 22,000 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2031-10-01 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.10 Bid-YTW : 5.67 % |
| NA.PR.S | FixedReset Prem | 18,600 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2029-05-15 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 26.20 Bid-YTW : 4.55 % |
| GWO.PR.R | Insurance Straight | 12,680 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2056-09-23 Maturity Price : 20.90 Evaluated at bid price : 20.90 Bid-YTW : 5.78 % |
| There were 1 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares. | |||
| Wide Spread Highlights | ||
| See TMX DataLinx: ‘Last’ != ‘Close’ and the posts linked therein for an idea of why these quotes are so horrible. | ||
| Issue | Index | Quote Data and Yield Notes |
| IFC.PR.G | FixedReset Ins Non | Quote: 19.87 – 26.05 Spot Rate : 6.1800 Average : 3.3779 YTW SCENARIO |
| GWO.PR.R | Insurance Straight | Quote: 20.90 – 21.90 Spot Rate : 1.0000 Average : 0.6056 YTW SCENARIO |
| SLF.PR.E | Insurance Straight | Quote: 20.10 – 21.20 Spot Rate : 1.1000 Average : 0.7493 YTW SCENARIO |
| CCS.PR.C | Insurance Straight | Quote: 21.50 – 22.85 Spot Rate : 1.3500 Average : 1.0363 YTW SCENARIO |
| ENB.PR.Y | FixedReset Disc | Quote: 22.55 – 23.80 Spot Rate : 1.2500 Average : 0.9483 YTW SCENARIO |
| PWF.PR.K | Perpetual-Discount | Quote: 21.65 – 22.36 Spot Rate : 0.7100 Average : 0.5003 YTW SCENARIO |
