BNS Tier 1 Capital : October 2007

The Bank of Nova Scotia has released its Fourth Quarter Supplementary Information; I will analyze this in the same format as was has been recently done for CM, RY, NA, TD and BMO.

Step One is to analyze their Tier 1 Capital, reproducing the summary prepared last year:

BNS Capital Structure
October, 2007
& October 2006
  2007 2006
Total Tier 1 Capital 20,225 20,109
Common Shareholders’ Equity 81.5% 84.3%
Preferred Shares 8.1% 3.0%
Innovative Tier 1 Capital Instruments 13.6% 14.9%
Non-Controlling Interests in Subsidiaries 2.5% 2.2%
Goodwill -5.6% -4.3%

Next, the issuance capacity (from Part 3 of last year’s series):

BNS Tier 1 Issuance Capacity
October 2007
& October 2006
  2007 2006
Equity Capital (A) 15,840 16,509
Non-Equity Tier 1 Limit (B=A/3) 5,280 5,503
Innovative Tier 1 Capital (C) 2,750 3,000
Preferred Limit (D=B-C) 2,530 2,503
Preferred Y/E Actual (E) 1,635 600
New Issuance Capacity (F=D-E) 895 1,903
Items A, C & E are taken from the table
“Regulatory Capital”
of the supplementary information;
Note that Item A includes Goodwill and non-controlling interest
Item B is as per OSFI GuidelinesItems D & F are my calculations.

We can now show the all important Risk-Weighted Asset Ratios!

BNS
Risk-Weighted Asset Ratios
October 2007
& October 2006
  Note 2007 2006
Equity Capital A 15,840 16,509
Risk-Weighted Assets B 218,300 197,000
Equity/RWA C=A/B 7.3% 8.4%
Tier 1 Ratio D 9.3% 10.2%
Capital Ratio E 10.5% 11.7%
A is taken from the table “Issuance Capacity”, above
B, D & E are taken from the Supplementary Report
C is my calculation.

Note that, as with all banks examined thus far, the Equity/RWA ratio and Tier 1 Ratio have both deteriorated over the year; for BNS, CM, NA and RY the Total Capital Ratio has also declined. BNS’s Subordinated Debt outstanding has increased slightly over the past year.

It is disappointing to see the deterioration in the Equity/RWA ratio over the year – I consider this to be a measure of the safety of the preferred shares, as it is the “total risk” of the bank’s assets (as defined by the regulators) divided by the value of capital junior to preferreds (which therefore takes the first loss). It is by no means anything to lose a lot of sleep over, as it still remains strong – the preferreds are better protected than the sub-debt of a lot of global banks – but … geez, the direction’s wrong!

I won’t discuss the annual results to any great extent – there will be innumerable reports over the next few months released by analysts with a great deal more time to spend on the matter than I have.

One Response to “BNS Tier 1 Capital : October 2007”

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