June 20, 2012

The Fed has a new slogan – Twist & Shout!:

The Committee also decided to continue through the end of the year its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities. Specifically, the Committee intends to purchase Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 6 years to 30 years at the current pace and to sell or redeem an equal amount of Treasury securities with remaining maturities of approximately 3 years or less. This continuation of the maturity extension program should put downward pressure on longer-term interest rates and help to make broader financial conditions more accommodative. The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities. The Committee is prepared to take further action as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustained improvement in labor market conditions in a context of price stability.

Voting against the action was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who opposed continuation of the maturity extension program.

With any luck, there will be increased pressure to end milkfare:

Canada has set an ambitious trade agenda that includes separate proposed deals with the EU, Japan and South Korea, along with entry into the Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations. The issues on the table differ from negotiation to negotiation: Japan and South Korea want Canada to reduce or eliminate a 6.1 per cent tariff on imported automobiles and parts; The EU and United States are requesting a change in Canadian intellectual property laws.

One issue, however, is common to all negotiations: Our trading partners want to see an end to supply management of our dairy and poultry industries.

The tariffs that buttress the system range between 200 and 300 per cent on imported dairy products, with milk facing a 241 per cent tax and butter one of 298.5 per cent. These tariffs make foreign products prohibitively expensive and keep domestic prices among the highest in the world.

Spend-Every-Penny continues to micromanage the economy:

The federal government is moving again to tighten the rules on mortgage lending in Canada amid growing concerns that the housing market is overheated and household debt levels are climbing to perilous levels.

The country’s biggest banks were caught off guard on Wednesday night as the Department of Finance confirmed that it is clamping down on mortgages by reducing the maximum amortization for a government-insured mortgage to 25 years from 30.

Ottawa will also limit the amount of equity that can be borrowed against a home to 80 per cent of the property’s value, down from 85 per cent.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums gaining 21bp, FixedResets off 1bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 3bp. There was a good dollop of volatility, with no clear pattern showing up in the Performance Highlights table. Volume was low.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.06%, equivalent to 6.58% interest at the standard conversion factor of 1.3x. Long corporates continue to yield about 4.4%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 220bp, a slight (and perhaps spurious) increase from the 215bp reported June 13.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.8650 % 2,316.5
FixedFloater 4.46 % 3.85 % 21,307 17.59 1 -0.5138 % 3,534.7
Floater 3.14 % 3.14 % 71,393 19.39 3 0.8650 % 2,501.2
OpRet 4.81 % 2.43 % 36,761 1.00 5 0.0852 % 2,510.1
SplitShare 5.26 % -8.45 % 44,292 0.50 4 0.4535 % 2,722.8
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0852 % 2,295.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.42 % 3.27 % 88,794 0.09 27 0.2126 % 2,236.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.06 % 5.06 % 117,367 15.38 7 0.1082 % 2,448.2
FixedReset 5.04 % 3.18 % 201,611 7.83 71 -0.0131 % 2,394.3
Deemed-Retractible 5.01 % 3.95 % 153,537 2.66 45 0.0317 % 2,307.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.71
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.15
Bid-YTW : 4.03 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-06-20
Maturity Price : 23.82
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-06-20
Maturity Price : 16.71
Evaluated at bid price : 16.71
Bid-YTW : 3.14 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-06-20
Maturity Price : 16.70
Evaluated at bid price : 16.70
Bid-YTW : 3.14 %
FBS.PR.C SplitShare 1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-12-15
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 10.81
Bid-YTW : -10.93 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 233,615 Recent new issue and reopening.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.12
Bid-YTW : 4.16 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Premium 100,700 Desjardins crossed blocks of 50,000 shares, 20,000 and 30,000, all at 26.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 0.92 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Premium 73,050 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-09-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.09
Bid-YTW : 4.89 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 50,252 RBC crossed 50,000 at 25.57.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.56
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %
BMO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible 46,508 Nesbitt crossed 40,000 at 25.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.59
Bid-YTW : 2.35 %
TD.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 36,952 Desjardins crossed 26,800 at 25.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.86
Bid-YTW : 2.68 %
There were 23 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IAG.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 25.91 – 26.39
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3508

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.91
Bid-YTW : 3.65 %

BNA.PR.E SplitShare Quote: 24.75 – 25.00
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1530

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2017-12-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %

HSB.PR.D Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.35 – 25.59
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1582

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 4.61 %

BNS.PR.Q FixedReset Quote: 25.52 – 25.79
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1883

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.52
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %

RY.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 26.33 – 26.55
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1530

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.33
Bid-YTW : 3.27 %

TCA.PR.Y Perpetual-Premium Quote: 51.90 – 52.20
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2365

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-05
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 51.90
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %

One Response to “June 20, 2012”

  1. […] PerpetualDiscounts now yield 4.94%, equivalent to 6.42% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield about 4.3%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 210bp, a tightening from the 220bp reported June 20. […]

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