July 17, 2012

The bank rate is unchanged:

The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.

Global growth prospects have weakened since the Bank’s April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). While the economic expansion in the United States continues at a gradual but somewhat slower pace, developments in Europe point to a renewed contraction. In China and other emerging economies, the deceleration in growth has been greater than anticipated, reflecting past policy tightening and weaker external demand. This slowdown in global activity has led to a sizeable reduction in commodity prices, although they remain elevated. The combination of increasing global excess capacity over the projection horizon and reduced commodity prices is expected to moderate global inflationary pressures. Global financial conditions have also deteriorated since April, with periods of considerable volatility. The Bank’s base case projection assumes that the European crisis will continue to be contained, although this assumption is subject to downside risks.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums down 10bp, FixedResets gaining 13bp and DeemedRetractibles up 11bp. Volatility was almost non-existent. While there were a few issues with very good volumes (with a very high correlation to the recent TXPR rebalancing), overall volume was light.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0404 % 2,288.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0404 % 3,423.8
Floater 3.18 % 3.20 % 76,831 19.24 3 -0.0404 % 2,471.3
OpRet 4.78 % 3.39 % 42,463 0.93 5 0.0539 % 2,522.9
SplitShare 5.48 % 4.92 % 73,973 4.70 3 0.0400 % 2,759.8
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0539 % 2,307.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.36 % 3.29 % 93,542 0.54 28 -0.1047 % 2,257.9
Perpetual-Discount 4.98 % 4.93 % 106,328 15.56 6 0.1782 % 2,502.1
FixedReset 4.99 % 3.04 % 184,600 4.18 71 0.1267 % 2,415.9
Deemed-Retractible 4.97 % 3.71 % 148,044 2.86 46 0.1061 % 2,337.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.H FixedReset 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.72
Bid-YTW : 3.79 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.N FixedReset 1,205,755 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-07-17
Maturity Price : 23.12
Evaluated at bid price : 25.06
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium 220,309 TXPR Deletion.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.21
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
CIU.PR.B FixedReset 211,000 TXPR Addition.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.33
Bid-YTW : 2.09 %
FTS.PR.E OpRet 112,387 TXPR Addition.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.95
Bid-YTW : 0.12 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 73,230 Recent reopening.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 55,640 TXPR Deletion.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-07-17
Maturity Price : 23.54
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 2.66 %
There were 18 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BNA.PR.D SplitShare Quote: 26.80 – 28.99
Spot Rate : 2.1900
Average : 1.2270

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-08-16
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.80
Bid-YTW : -19.70 %

RY.PR.D Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.75 – 26.25
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.2913

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : 3.82 %

CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount Quote: 25.26 – 26.00
Spot Rate : 0.7400
Average : 0.5660

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-07-17
Maturity Price : 24.96
Evaluated at bid price : 25.26
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %

GWO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.03 – 26.45
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.2679

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.03
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 25.60 – 25.89
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2116

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-07-17
Maturity Price : 23.49
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 2.79 %

TD.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 25.66 – 25.87
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1364

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.66
Bid-YTW : 3.11 %

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