January 14, 2009

Donato Masciandaro writes an opinion piece on VoxEU: Basel 3: Supervising the credit giants with progressive capital ratios:

The too big to fail rule therefore represents an authentic paradox – in the presence of risk of systemic crisis, the rule must be temporarily adopted to prevent the crisis from actually worsening, but if it is not credibly revoked, it pushes the system towards an unstable and inefficient oligopoly.

But can the too big to fail rule be revoked after the financial crisis ends? It may be difficult since the law has never been written, but it is always imminent in oversight procedure. But if government insurance against the insolvency of large banks is difficult to abolish, the government could try making them pay. Defining the correct plan for such a distinctive kind of insurance would not be simple, but the current situation could certainly be improved upon. Now, large banks could reasonably believe that they are covered by a subsequent implicit insurance in case of an insolvency risk. Banks do not pay a corresponding initial premium, however, as the prudent regulation plan does not mention bank size, at least from this point of view.

New ideas are needed: capital coefficients that, equal to other risks, consider the “irresponsibility risks” that could increase bank sizes out of proportions, for example. Thus, non-proportional capital coefficients which are progressive in relation to the activity volume are needed, possibly divided into size groups. In order to “put a price” on government insurance in favour of credit giants, non-conventional regulatory solutions need to be explored, striving to remain in line with the foundation of a market with prudent regulation. It is not simple, but it would be better than pretending that the problem did not exist.

I support the idea; particularly if it is paired with the idea of weighting risk-weighted-assets differently according to either the “trader” (investment bank, dealer) or “investor” (regular bank) regime chosen by the entity.

Action today was dominated by settlement of three new issues (bank fixed-resets), each of which made it into the volume tables, unsurprisingly. PerpetualDiscounts were off.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 7.06 % 7.73 % 42,070 13.31 2 -1.3208 % 855.6
FixedFloater 7.29 % 6.97 % 151,991 13.80 8 0.3084 % 1,406.4
Floater 5.76 % 5.21 % 34,276 15.15 4 -5.7624 % 1,058.8
OpRet 5.33 % 4.72 % 141,294 4.08 15 -0.0336 % 2,013.6
SplitShare 6.14 % 9.07 % 84,827 4.17 15 0.2920 % 1,810.3
Interest-Bearing 7.15 % 9.18 % 41,568 0.92 2 0.5282 % 1,978.2
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5996 % 1,568.2
Perpetual-Discount 6.82 % 6.90 % 243,887 12.70 71 -0.5996 % 1,444.2
FixedReset 5.92 % 4.85 % 942,822 15.20 21 -0.0589 % 1,826.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater -14.93 % Not as bad as it looks, since the closing quote was 8.26-9.59, 2×3, with 6,680 shares trading in a range of 9.48-99. It is possible that the disappearance of the bid is due to the issue’s removal from TXPR.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 8.26
Evaluated at bid price : 8.26
Bid-YTW : 7.51 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -7.50 % This one is more serious, since the closing quote was 18.51-00, 2x111, trading 11,070 shares in a range of 19.00-20.15. But it had been rich to the other POW issues anyway.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 18.51
Evaluated at bid price : 18.51
Bid-YTW : 7.29 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -5.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 9.30
Evaluated at bid price : 9.30
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %
BCE.PR.S Ratchet -4.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.00
Bid-YTW : 7.94 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -3.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 20.52
Evaluated at bid price : 20.52
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -3.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 18.90
Evaluated at bid price : 18.90
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
PWF.PR.A Floater -3.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 13.11
Evaluated at bid price : 13.11
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %
TD.PR.Q Perpetual-Discount -3.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 21.21
Evaluated at bid price : 21.21
Bid-YTW : 6.63 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet -2.82 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.91
Bid-YTW : 11.25 %
SBC.PR.A SplitShare -2.71 % Asset coverage of 1.5+:1 as of January 8, according to Brompton Group.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-11-30
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.27
Bid-YTW : 10.91 %
ALB.PR.A SplitShare -2.70 % Asset coverage of 1.3-:1 as of January 8, according to Scotia Managed Companies.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2011-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.21
Bid-YTW : 15.57 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -2.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 12.72
Evaluated at bid price : 12.72
Bid-YTW : 9.48 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset -1.96 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 22.02
Evaluated at bid price : 22.06
Bid-YTW : 4.53 %
BNS.PR.O Perpetual-Discount -1.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 21.14
Evaluated at bid price : 21.14
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %
BCE.PR.I FixedFloater -1.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.19
Bid-YTW : 6.97 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset -1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 22.57
Evaluated at bid price : 22.61
Bid-YTW : 4.48 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare -1.68 % Asset coverage of 1.8+:1 as of December 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 10.51
Bid-YTW : 16.62 %
BCE.PR.R FixedFloater -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.77
Bid-YTW : 7.18 %
TD.PR.O Perpetual-Discount -1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 18.85
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 17.70
Evaluated at bid price : 17.70
Bid-YTW : 7.15 %
BNS.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 20.02
Evaluated at bid price : 20.02
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %
RY.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 18.52
Evaluated at bid price : 18.52
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
HSB.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 17.70
Evaluated at bid price : 17.70
Bid-YTW : 7.29 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 12.88
Evaluated at bid price : 12.88
Bid-YTW : 9.36 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 16.41
Evaluated at bid price : 16.41
Bid-YTW : 7.14 %
TRI.PR.B Floater -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 11.85
Evaluated at bid price : 11.85
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 19.14
Evaluated at bid price : 19.14
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %
FBS.PR.B SplitShare -1.18 % Asset coverage of 1.2-:1 as of January 8, according to TD Securities.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2011-12-15
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.36
Bid-YTW : 11.79 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 20.20
Evaluated at bid price : 20.20
Bid-YTW : 6.84 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 22.20
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 4.69 %
FFN.PR.A SplitShare -1.15 % Asset coverage of 1.2+:1 as of December 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.76
Bid-YTW : 10.60 %
RY.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 17.71
Evaluated at bid price : 17.71
Bid-YTW : 6.40 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 16.26
Evaluated at bid price : 16.26
Bid-YTW : 7.00 %
BNS.PR.S FixedReset 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 25.20
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 5.79 %
FIG.PR.A Interest-Bearing 1.09 % Asset coverage of 1.1+:1 as of January 9, based on Capital Units NAV of 2.23 and 0.53 Capital Units per preferred.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-31
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.41
Bid-YTW : 12.74 %
NA.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 17.38
Evaluated at bid price : 17.38
Bid-YTW : 6.99 %
DF.PR.A SplitShare 1.19 % Asset coverage of 1.4:1 as of December 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.51
Bid-YTW : 8.64 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 18.81
Evaluated at bid price : 18.81
Bid-YTW : 7.51 %
DFN.PR.A SplitShare 1.27 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of December 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.76
Bid-YTW : 8.04 %
BNA.PR.B SplitShare 1.30 % Asset coverage of 1.8+:1 as of December 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2016-03-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.26
Bid-YTW : 8.71 %
BCE.PR.F FixedFloater 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.75
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 15.25
Evaluated at bid price : 15.25
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %
WFS.PR.A SplitShare 1.77 % Asset coverage of 1.2+:1 as of January 8, according to Mulvihill.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2011-06-30
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 9.21
Bid-YTW : 9.07 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 20.37
Evaluated at bid price : 20.37
Bid-YTW : 6.63 %
FTN.PR.A SplitShare 1.83 % Asset coverage of 1.4+:1 as of December 31, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.36
Bid-YTW : 8.56 %
BCE.PR.Y Ratchet 1.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.39
Bid-YTW : 7.73 %
PPL.PR.A SplitShare 2.22 % Asset coverage of 1.4+:1 as of December 31, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 9.20
Bid-YTW : 7.44 %
LBS.PR.A SplitShare 3.05 % Asset coverage of 1.5-:1 as of January 8 according to Brompton Group.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-11-29
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.45
Bid-YTW : 9.34 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 4.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 11.00
Bid-YTW : 10.14 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.E FixedReset 972,217 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %
RY.PR.P FixedReset 593,098 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 6.00 %
MFC.PR.A OpRet 258,405 Nesbitt crossed 75,000 at 24.40; Desjardins crossed two blocks of 50,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.45
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
NA.PR.O FixedReset 177,885 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-01-14
Maturity Price : 24.81
Evaluated at bid price : 24.86
Bid-YTW : 6.53 %
DFN.PR.A SplitShare 104,250 See above. TD crossed 99,900 at 8.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.76
Bid-YTW : 8.04 %
WFS.PR.A SplitShare 73,925 See above. Desjardins crossed 64,000 at 9.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2011-06-30
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 9.21
Bid-YTW : 9.07 %
There were 37 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

One Response to “January 14, 2009”

  1. […] – as I have advocated – with credit to Donato Masciandaro, whose VoxEU piece was discussed on January 14, but it’s clear that they want a lot of banks to fill in a lot of forms and send them off to […]

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