March 4, 2009

Sorry folks! Not much by way of commentary today!

PerpetualDiscounts were off again to yield 7.46%, equivalent to 10.44% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. Long Corporates continue to hold at 7.50%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now 294bp … who knows? It won’t take much before we’re breaching 300bp again.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3276 % 818.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3276 % 1,324.1
Floater 4.76 % 5.95 % 67,587 13.88 3 0.3276 % 1,022.8
OpRet 5.30 % 5.01 % 149,100 3.93 15 -0.0973 % 2,035.7
SplitShare 6.97 % 9.08 % 57,677 4.84 6 -0.4790 % 1,591.5
Interest-Bearing 6.23 % 11.97 % 38,576 0.78 1 0.0000 % 1,884.6
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1996 % 1,471.0
Perpetual-Discount 7.34 % 7.46 % 172,278 12.03 71 -0.1996 % 1,354.8
FixedReset 6.20 % 5.64 % 478,449 13.98 28 0.1283 % 1,780.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -4.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 17.56
Evaluated at bid price : 17.56
Bid-YTW : 7.97 %
TD.PR.O Perpetual-Discount -3.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 17.82
Evaluated at bid price : 17.82
Bid-YTW : 6.91 %
PWF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -2.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 18.08
Evaluated at bid price : 18.08
Bid-YTW : 8.09 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -2.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %
LFE.PR.A SplitShare -2.16 % Asset coverage of 1.0+:1 as of February 27 according to the company … and DBRS still rates it as Pfd-2(low).
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 6.35
Bid-YTW : 19.64 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -2.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 18.26
Evaluated at bid price : 18.26
Bid-YTW : 7.83 %
MFC.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -2.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.67
Evaluated at bid price : 15.67
Bid-YTW : 7.46 %
BNS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 19.11
Evaluated at bid price : 19.11
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.72
Evaluated at bid price : 16.72
Bid-YTW : 8.18 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.11
Evaluated at bid price : 15.11
Bid-YTW : 7.97 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.99
Evaluated at bid price : 15.99
Bid-YTW : 8.12 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.88 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 12.51
Evaluated at bid price : 12.51
Bid-YTW : 9.78 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 18.86
Evaluated at bid price : 18.86
Bid-YTW : 7.85 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset -1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 6.53 %
NA.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.25
Evaluated at bid price : 16.25
Bid-YTW : 7.56 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 19.56
Evaluated at bid price : 19.56
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
SLF.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 14.26
Evaluated at bid price : 14.26
Bid-YTW : 7.83 %
BAM.PR.I OpRet -1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-12-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 9.38 %
RY.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.10
Evaluated at bid price : 16.10
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset -1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 23.01
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 5.22 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.48
Evaluated at bid price : 15.48
Bid-YTW : 8.14 %
BMO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 19.66
Evaluated at bid price : 19.66
Bid-YTW : 7.46 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 14.68
Evaluated at bid price : 14.68
Bid-YTW : 7.71 %
SBN.PR.A SplitShare -1.40 % Asset coverage of 1.5-:1 as of February 19 according to Mulvihill.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.43
Bid-YTW : 8.92 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 14.80
Evaluated at bid price : 14.80
Bid-YTW : 7.79 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 9.96 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.88
Evaluated at bid price : 16.88
Bid-YTW : 7.73 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 22.21
Evaluated at bid price : 22.27
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 21.62
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
DFN.PR.A SplitShare 1.21 % Asset coverage of 1.5-:1 as of February 27 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.35
Bid-YTW : 9.08 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
CM.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.81
Evaluated at bid price : 15.81
Bid-YTW : 7.73 %
BNS.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.75
Evaluated at bid price : 16.75
Bid-YTW : 6.82 %
RY.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.35
Evaluated at bid price : 16.35
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
IGM.PR.A OpRet 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-06-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.06
Bid-YTW : 5.61 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 7.49
Evaluated at bid price : 7.49
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.22
Evaluated at bid price : 15.22
Bid-YTW : 7.41 %
CM.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 2.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.00
Bid-YTW : 7.63 %
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 2.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.53 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 3.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 20.60
Evaluated at bid price : 20.60
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 3.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 18.39
Evaluated at bid price : 18.39
Bid-YTW : 7.75 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 3.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
RY.PR.W Perpetual-Discount 3.82 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 18.49
Evaluated at bid price : 18.49
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 4.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 6.87 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 541,409 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 24.65
Evaluated at bid price : 24.70
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 44,211 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 25.13
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 39,262 RBC crossed 20,700 at 15.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
RY.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 31,980 Raymond James bought 10,000 from Nesbitt at 16.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.98
Evaluated at bid price : 15.98
Bid-YTW : 7.12 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 31,800 National crossed 10,000 at 25.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.17
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 29,350 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 6.23 %
There were 22 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

4 Responses to “March 4, 2009”

  1. Prefarb says:

    With the spread now at 294 I’m wondering where the high and low has been for the past few years. If there is a graph of some sort that you can share I think it would be informative. Thanks.

  2. jiHymas says:

    Well … you should have attended the seminar, shouldn’t you!

    Don’t worry, it will be available on-line soon.

    Chart 2 in my review of 2008 is what you’re looking for. The spread spent years in the 100-150bp range, 200-250bp has become normal during the credit crunch and there was a brief spike to about 450 during the November collapse.

  3. Prefarb says:

    Thanks.

    I thought i would share some analysis.

    I calculated the interest equivalency for someone whose net taxable income consists entirely of eligible dividends and is equal to or less than $36,020 – the maximum level in Ontario at which an individual pays no tax(in 2008). In this case the marginal tax rate is 21% and the equivalency factor is 1.267 vs a marginal rate of 46.4% and the 1.4 for a high income earner ($150K). I utilized a handy tax calculator available online. Here is the link:
    http://www.ey.com/GLOBAL/content.nsf/Canada/Tax_-_Calculators_-_2008_Personal_Tax

  4. jiHymas says:

    I got 1.27.

    I’m not sure why – or how – you specified that the net taxable income is entirely dividends? The site we both used only gives marginal rates.

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